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When do you think it will snow?

prophet0426

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When do you think we will see the first flakes around this part? Was on TGR and it looks like CO already has seen some snow in the last week. It's on it's way hopefully!
 
From Sept 15th Mount Washington Observatory weather:

A moist southerly flow will be met by a strong cold front from the west today. This will allow for abundant showers as well as an increased probability for a thunderstorm or two, especially as the front approaches this afternoon. Temperatures will start out close to 50 degrees this morning but then free fall into the 20s for the overnight hours as the front passes. This will bring the coldest temperatures the summits have seen since early May. Although the bulk of the precipitation is expected to remain as rain, as temperatures drop with the frontal passage, a mix of freezing rain, sleet and snow are all possible this afternoon and overnight on the tail end of the front w/ a trace to 2 inches of snow possible by sunrise Friday. Behind the front, a Canadian high will bring a reinforcing shot of cold air keeping summits frigid on Friday as temperatures struggle to escape the 20s. And with the cold temperatures mixing with winds approaching 100 mph at times, wind chills are expected to be below zero overnight and early on Thursday. Drier air with the high is expected to bring some clearing on Friday bringing some picturesque white caps to the summits as seen from the valleys below
 
Hopefully in NW Jersey it will be sometime in October. It didn't snow at all October 2010, but it did in 2008 and 2009. Here is a picture of Hidden Valley, 15 minutes from home, from 10/15/09:
first_snow_10_15_09_179.jpg
 
Hopefully in NW Jersey it will be sometime in October.

To me, October snow in NJ is useless because it never stays cold enough to have an impact.

My perfect (fairytale) weather scenario always involves an unusually warm October and November up until about November 15th, followed by freezing temperatures and recurring snowfall that doesnt let up until mid-March. Its never happened and likely never will, but a guy can dream......
 
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